Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 3.163024 3.339089 3.525802 3.739613 3.979033 4.240484 4.549842
2025-09-14 2.850089 3.084913 3.346336 3.662493 4.039534 4.481680 5.050428
2025-09-21 2.613223 2.879072 3.185616 3.571927 4.056211 4.659085 5.495086
2025-09-28 2.470180 2.762572 3.110064 3.564331 4.160783 4.947845 6.128100
2025-10-05 2.430104 2.761221 3.167730 3.721276 4.488181 5.575058 7.382694
2025-10-12 2.351705 2.703563 3.146159 3.768108 4.667759 6.022379 8.500961
2025-10-19 2.280244 2.647650 3.119584 3.801469 4.827518 6.465023 9.774344
2025-10-26 2.238178 2.625362 3.133567 3.889782 5.077887 7.105428 11.751064
2025-11-02 2.167009 2.559410 3.082117 3.876031 5.162674 7.472128 13.343556
2025-11-09 2.068910 2.452010 2.966152 3.755313 5.055167 7.452790 13.925362
2025-11-16 1.991095 2.368436 2.878882 3.671258 4.999632 7.525306 14.841255
2025-11-23 1.937435 2.315251 2.831497 3.644524 5.039142 7.800604 16.651040
2025-11-30 1.869392 2.243763 2.760239 3.585076 5.032341 8.019156 18.733350
2025-12-07 1.802052 2.170990 2.684150 3.513608 4.998103 8.178514 20.935389
2025-12-14 1.736012 2.097554 2.603687 3.429667 4.931816 8.251704 22.990294
2025-12-21 1.695501 2.058327 2.571621 3.422592 5.012222 8.719684 28.801353
2025-12-28 1.696664 2.077926 2.628018 3.567838 5.418650 10.253674 56.901252
2026-01-04 1.672500 2.059727 2.625466 3.611095 5.622405 11.329680 126.305439
2026-01-11 1.647063 2.038404 2.616581 3.641888 5.804695 12.468997 1907.294638
2026-01-18 1.634165 2.034770 2.634923 3.723326 6.120690 14.420594 NaN
2026-01-25 1.602351 2.001637 2.604293 3.710652 6.207233 15.480673 NaN
2026-02-01 1.552264 1.939561 2.524465 3.599269 6.029332 15.108137 NaN
2026-02-08 1.511396 1.890312 2.463831 3.521571 5.930695 15.134355 NaN